EPL Predictions 2022/23 – Our EPL Expert Predictions This Weekend

Get the latest EPL expert predictions this weekend with Gamblers Pro. As lifelong football fans, we’d like to think that we know our way around the English Premier League. Of course, we won’t get every prediction right, but if you think our betting tips have merit, why not jump on board and have a small flutter with us?

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English Premier League Predictions This Weekend

The World Cup is around the corner, so let’s enjoy these English Premier League predictions this weekend. There are some interesting games on the fixture list, including Newcastle vs Chelsea, Tottenham vs Leeds, and even Bournemouth vs Everton, which is wide open in the betting.

If you fancy an outsider, Notts Forest are decent value at home to Palace, and Villa could be worthy of a few quid. All of this makes for some exciting (and hopefully rewarding) expert English Premier League predictions this weekend.

So, without further ado, here are our expert EPL predictions for the upcoming matches, followed by the top Gamblers Pro pick and a review of several matches.

TimeHomePredictionAway
12:30Manchester City4 - 1Brentford
15:00AFC Bournemouth2 - 2Everton
15:00Liverpool2 - 0Southampton
15:00Nottingham Forest2 - 1Crystal Palace
15:00Tottenham Hotspur2 - 1Leeds United
15:00West Ham United1 - 2Leicester City
17:30Newcastle United1 - 0Chelsea
19:45Wolverhampton Wanderers0 - 2Arsenal
14:00Brighton & Hove Albion1 - 1Aston Villa
16:30Fulham1 - 2Manchester United

Gambler 1X2 Prediction

Everyone has their own opinion about the best EPL predictions this weekend, and so do we. The Gambler prediction today is essentially our nap bet – the one that we are most excited about.

This doesn’t have to be a favourite – and in many instances, it isn’t. We base this wager pure on its value, as you’ll see from the Gambler 1X2 prediction below.

Best EPL Pick This Weekend – Newcastle United (Win)

It’s a tricky one for our Gambler’s 1X2 Prediction this week, but we have decided to head back to the northeast. That’s right, our top EPL pick is Newcastle to beat Chelsea at odds of 2.35, which will be a nice pick-up if they win.

Let’s look at the stats. Newcastle are unbeaten at home this season, having won 4 and drawn 3. Furthermore, they are unbeaten in their last 9 matches (H&A), which means they are full of confidence. On the other side, Chelsea have lost their last two EPL matches, and they drew the two before those. Already, the pressure is mounting on Potter, so this isn’t a test he would have wanted to face before the World Cup break.

With the price of 2.35, there is enough room for a draw no bet or double chance option if you want a bit of insurance. However, given the form of the Magpies, our Gambler’s 1X2 prediction is confident of a home win, and that’s why it’s our top EPL pick this weekend.

Expert EPL Predictions

Going more in-depth on some more of the featured games, these are our EPL expert predictions hot picks for this week’s action.

Bournemouth vs Everton EPL Predictions

This is an interesting encounter, and all three results are on deck according to the stat man crunching our expert EPL predictions this weekend.

The Cherries have lost their last four league matches, but they have scored 9 goals in their last 6 games, so finding the back of the net hasn’t been an issue. Everton’s form isn’t much better, to be honest, with 4 losses, 1 draw, and 1 win from their last six.

The Toffees’ problem has scoring, with them drawing a blank in four of those six matches. However, Bournemouth have proven to have a generous defence, so we expect goals here.

That’s why our EPL expert prediction is on the draw, which is priced at 3.35 with most of the leading bookmakers. However, if you want something a little safer, taking 1.85 on BTTS looks like a decent bet.

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace EPL Predictions

Eight of Forest’s ten points have come at home this season, and matches like this one against Palace are vital for them to have any hope of avoiding relegation.

Forest are unbeaten in their last 3 home games in the EPL, plus they beat Tottenham quite comfortably in the League Cup in midweek. Palace have one win on the road, which admittedly was in their last match, but the game before saw them battered by Everton at Goodison.

At odds of 3.20 for Forest to win, this is an outsider, but it’s certainly worth considering. Double chance (Forest – draw) is 1.66, which is a second option if you want to play it safe.

Wolves vs Arsenal EPL Predictions

With Man City priced at 1.14 and Liverpool at 1.26, there’s not enough value to entertain either of those. However, Arsenal are floating around 1.60, which has aroused the interest of our expert EPL predictions team this weekend.

If you look at the stats, Wolves have 6L, 1D, and 1W from their last 8, compared with Arsenal’s 6W, 1D, and 1L. Additionally, Wolves have lost their last two home EPL matches while Arsenal have won 3 from 4 away.

Based on this, 1.60 seems generous and worth snapping up.

Premier League Table Predictions

For long-term EPL predictions, you want to check out the ‘outrights’ or ‘futures’ markets with your chosen betting site. Now is the time to jump on these bets, as you usually get better value the further you are from the finish. These are some of the markets you can explore as part of your season-long English Premier League betting tips strategy:

Red = shortening odds | Green = lengthening odds | Black = no change

  • Premier League Winner:
    • Man City 1.20
    • Arsenal 5.85
    • Newcastle United 50.00
    • Liverpool 56.00
    • Tottenham 88.00
    • Manchester United 92.00
    • Chelsea 135.00
  • Premier League Winner w/o the Big Six:
    • Newcastle 1.33
    • Brighton 4.35
    • Crystal Palace 21.20
    • West Ham 34.00
  • Premier League Winner w/o Man C. & Liverpool:
    • Arsenal 1.36
    • Newcastle United 9.00
    • Manchester United 11.00
    • Tottenham 11.00
    • Chelsea 13.00

Betting markets and odds taken from Stake.com. For bettors in the UK, it’s Stake.UK.com – 12-11-2022

Popular EPL Bets

Online bookmakers offer well over 100 betting markets on EPL matches, so it can get a little confusing which wagers to pick. There are better profits to be made if your Premier League predictions involve ‘how’ a team will win (or a result will happen), rather than simply having a flutter on the match result.

However, you need to factor in the risk vs reward ratio. Of course, the more precise you get with your EPL bets, the higher odds you can expect. The flip side of this is that they will involve a higher level of risk. Added to this, bookmakers set different margins for each market, and this affects both the true betting value and your payout.

Here are some of the top betting markets this season where you can apply the best English Premier League Predictions for this Saturday:

  • 1X2 (Match Result): This is still the most popular football bet. To win, you only need to predict if the full-time result will be a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2). Although, it doesn’t always offer the biggest odds, it often carries the lowest margins and it’s less risky than many other wagers.
  • Draw No Bet: With quite a few EPL matches ending in a draw, the draw no bet (DNB) wager has steadily grown in popularity. This is the same as betting on the match result market, but the bet is void – and you get your stake back – if the game is drawn. It’s a good bet if you fancy the underdog in the betting because if offers some insurance to punters.
  • BTTS: Both teams to score is an excellent wager for neutrals. It doesn’t matter what the final result is, you simply need both of the teams to score. Understandably, the odds are not usually that high given the simplicity of the bet, but it is still an EPL predictions favourite. A variant of this punt is BTTS in Both Halves. This pays out a lot more, but of course, it’s harder to win.
  • First goalscorer: The value of this bet depends on the player you choose. For instance, there isn’t much value in picking Kane, Aguero or Salah. Instead, it’s a good punt for games like Aston Villa vs Brighton, where the first goalscorer could be one of several players.
  • O/U Total Goals: Another simple bet that doesn’t require the punter to pick a winner. Also, you don’t need both teams to score. Bookmakers will offer several of these markets, starting from over/under 0.5 goals, over-under 1.5 goals up to over/under 6.5 goals. The most common is O/U 2.5 goals. If you bet ‘over’ 2.5, you win if the match finishes with 3, 4, 5 or more goals (extra time and penalty shootouts not included).

How much to bet on these EPL Predictions

The vast majority of recreational punters use the same stake value for every one of our expert EPL betting tips. However, we don’t recommend this betting system if you’re serious about making good profits from betting on the Premier League.

You need to have a bankroll management system and then bet in accordance with the perceived risk of the EPL predictions you are wagering on. One of the most successful strategies is the Kelly Criterion – also known as the Kelly Bet. This how it works:

The Kelly Bet formula

Kelly Criterion formula

  • f = The recommended percentage of your bankroll to bet
  • b = The bookmaker’s odds (in decimal) minus 1
  • p = Your perceived probability of winning using our EPL predictions
  • q = The probability of losing (1 – p)

Armed with this formula, you can now start to put values to the letters. Let’s take the Premier League betting tips from the Leeds vs Fulham match. We chose Leeds to win [1X2 Full-Time] at odds of 1.60. This fills in the ‘b’.

  • b = 1.60  – 1 = 0.60

Now comes the most important part, and ultimately this will depend on whether the strategy is successful or not. You need to assess the probability of your EPL predictions being right. The bookies have Leeds at 59% for the win, we think it’s slightly higher, so we are saying 65%; therefore:

  • p = 0.65 (this is 65% in decimal)
  • q = 0.35

With all the values in place, we can now calculate the formula:

(0.60 x 0.65 – 0.35) / 0.60 = f (0.0666*) x 100 = 6.66%

Using the Kelly formula, it is recommended to bet 6.66% of our bankroll on this EPL prediction.

Free-to-Enter Football Jackpot Games

We bookies eager to secure (and keep) your custom, there are several free-to- enter football jackpot games that run throughout the season. These can be exclusive to Premier League football or they may involve matches from other leagues as well. We’ve hand-picked the best games for you to check out.

Best EPL Betting Sites

All online bookmakers and sportsbooks offer EPL betting. Whether you call it football (like we do) or soccer, the English Premier League is a favourite among bettors from all over the world. As such, there are many stand out EPL betting sites to choose from.

However, it depends on your country as to which betting companies are available. Here’s a selection of top sites to choose from, covering different regions.

Bovada

Players in South and North America have used Bovada for their EPL expert picks for years. This online betting company offers a plethora of pre-match and live betting markets, ranging from spread, win, and totals to both teams to score, draw no bet and double chance.

Prop Builder is one of this sportsbook’s many popular features. It allows bettors to build parlays based on individual player stats like number of passes, shots, tackles, and assists, allowing you to create unique bets from your EPL picks this week.

Best Free EPL Tips & Predictions FAQ

Can I cashout my EPL bets?

Yes, most online bookmakers have the cashout feature on their platforms (because they make better profits from it). Regardless of that, this is still a great tool to use, particularly on accumulator bets in which 5 out of 6 selections have won, and you’re getting nervous on the final match.

Can I bet in-play on the Premier League?

Absolutely, yes! In-play (live) betting is very popular for Premier League football. It can be a riskier betting strategy, but the rewards are there if you pick the right bets. One thing we would say about in-play betting is the bookmaker’s margins tend to be higher (so you get less value). This is something to quickly check before getting your money in the game.

Is it worth paying for EPL betting tips?

In our opinion, no it isn’t. This is not to say that there aren’t some good tipsters out there, but the league at the moment is in a strange bubble. No EPL tips expert could call Leicester beating Man City 5 – 2, Spurs 6 – 1 Man Utd, and Aston Villa 7 – 2 against Liverpool.

Of course, to avoid this, the majority of paid tipsters play it safe with bets that payout less than evens, such as over 2.5 goals. Our EPL predictions look for more value. The win ratio may not be as high, but the profits over the season are likely to be better.

How do I win on football betting every time?

Gamblers Pro is not in the business of misleading punters; so we won’t sugar coat this. It’s virtually impossible to win on football betting every time you have a punt. Even selections that are 1/100 (1.01) can lose. However, you can improve your success rate by putting in the research, and only bet when there’s value in the markets.

Also, use a money management system alongside our expert EPL predictions so that you know how much of your bankroll to stake on each bet.

Can I use these EPL predictions in Nigeria?

Yes, you sure can. All major sportsbooks offer English Premier League betting, so you can apply these predictions as you choose. If you’re looking for a licensed and regulated betting site in Nigeria, please read our Bet9ja review to see if it meets your requirements.

Can I use these EPL predictions as part of an accumulator (ACCA) bet?

Who will win the 2020/21 English Premier League?

When is the best time to place my bets?

Disclaimer: Our EPL expert predictions are made for entertainment only. We do not take any responsibility for any financial loss incurred as a result of real money wagers placed on these EPL predictions.