EPL predictions software is all the rage right now, but does it work? Can a computer program actually help you to beat the bookie on a more frequent basis? Gamblers Pro intends to find out.
Throughout the course of the 2019/2020 English Premier League season, our team is going to review several popular Premier League prediction apps and list their recommended bets on this page for our readers to compare against our in-house EPL betting tips expert, Mr GTL.
English Premier League Predictions for Saturday
Gameweek 22 was a barnstormer for the super-computer dishing out these EPL predictions. It bagged two out of three bets which produced more than 150% ROI. Not a bad weekend’s work if you ask us. The software called Palace and Arsenal to draw, and Wolves and Newcastle to do the same – both came up trumps.
So, we’re excited to see the English Premier League predictions for this Saturday. As always, we only bet on what the software classifies as Rank A EPL predictions:
Watford have been in great form since Nigel Pearson took charge but this will be a tough game for them despite Tottenham’s woeful season to date. We favour a draw ourselves but the EPL prediction computer is backing the Hornets.
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace
Bet: X2 (Double Chance market)
Bookmaker Odds: 8.40 (MarathonBet)
These are absolutely massive odds for a double chance market but with only a 20% probability, this wager carries plenty of risks. After City firing in six last weekend; we do not fancy Palace’s chances here.
Newcastle vs Chelsea
Bet: Draw (Double Chance market)
Bookmaker Odds: 2.64 (MarathonBet)
Chelsea grabbed a good confidence-boosting win last week, so this won’t be easy for Newcastle. However, those odds are fairly decent for a double chance here.
We found several interesting Rank B bets which we thought we’d share. Some we like – others we don’t. For our season-long Premier League predictions, we don’t use these, but you can certainly can.
With no Aubu playing, could this be a good time to get on this bet? We’ll keep track of the action.
Brighton vs Aston Villa
Bet: No (BTTS market)
Bookmaker Odds: 2.20 (Betfred)
Another BTTS prediction. As mentioned before, we are always wary of these but with odds above evens, it could be worth a shot.
Southampton vs Wolves
Bet: Southampton win (1X2 market)
Bookmaker Odds: 2.60 >> Bet Now at Betway
Hard to argue with this. Saints have been in tremendous form of late and Danny Ings is scoring for fun.
West Ham vs Everton
Bet: 1X (Double Chance market)
Bookmaker Odds: 1.63 (1XBet)
Battle of two new managers. Will it be Moyes or Carlo who comes away smiling? The EPL predictions computer says the smart money should go on West Ham double chance.
Burnley vs Leicester
Bet: Leicester win (1X2 market)
Bookmaker Odds: 1.92 (1XBet)
We like this bet – a lot!
Understandably, if you’ve never tinkered with computer programmes that churn out EPL betting tips, you may be confused as to how the software is arriving at these predictions. In short, based on known data, the programme will offer an ‘estimated probability prediction’ for each possible outcome.
Example: Chelsea vs Leicester (from matchday 2), the software estimated a 30% chance of the match being a draw. Next, it compares this figure with the betting odds (which were as high as 4.00 at some bookmakers) to see if this wager is profitable over the long-term. i.e: we win 3 out of 10 bets (30%). The winning bets each return 3 betting units profit = 9 in total. We lost 7 betting units from the other wagers. Overall profit +2 betting units.
Three bets placed last week (total €30.00). Two winners (total returns €82.50). A stonking €52.50 profit. That brings the Premier League prediction software season total up to a profit of:
Premier League Table Predictions
Many of our readers have asked us for our 2019-2020 Premier League table predictions so they can place their outright bets.
To be honest, we couldn’t find enough value in the market this season for it to interest us. We believe Manchester City and Liverpool will be the two teams battling it out again. None of the chasing pack have added enough quality to mount a serious threat in our opinion.
With Man City being priced at 1.50 with some bookies and Liverpool as low as 3.50, you can see why we’ve given this a wide berth. Having said that, Arsenal at 51.00 did raise an eyebrow for a cheeky each-way punt, but only the top two places pay at most betting sites, so decided to sit this one out.
EPL Predictions – Man Vs Machine
Match statistics and analytics have become more widespread in recent years. Perhaps, punters watched Brad Pitt in Moneyball and all wanted to join the Sabermetrics party.
We’re certain that there is value in this data which is why we decided to set up this challenge. We hope you find it interesting and that the EPL predictions we provide are of value.
Best Free EPL Tips FAQ
A. What is the difference between Rank A, B, C and D bets?
Quite simply, Rank A bets ‘should’ be more profitable over the duration of the season. This doesn’t necessarily just mean winning bets, the odds have right as well.
A. Why doesn’t the software predict Liverpool and Man City to win?
While these two teams do win a lot of games, bookmakers don’t offer enough value in the market compared to the implied risk. For example: Man City vs Brighton. The match outcome probabilities are 83% Man City win. 12% draw and 5% Brighton win. Man City are 1.08 (at some bookies). Therefore, if you placed this bet at these odds 100 times and won 83 times, you would end up at a loss.
Disclaimer: Our Epl expert predictions are made for entertainment only. We do not take any responsibility for any financial loss incurred as a result of real money wagers placed on these EPL predictions.